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Car Forum / Ford / Ford Mustang / September 2005

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Premium gas hits $5.02 a gallon in Toronto

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RichA - 03 Sep 2005 00:56 GMT
That's American dollars and gallon prices.
Price per litre is $1.49 Can..
-Rich

"Bittorrents are REFUNDS for all the BAD movie products Hollywood
never gave us refunds for in the past"
RichA - 03 Sep 2005 01:27 GMT
>That's American dollars and gallon prices.
>Price per litre is $1.49 Can..
>-Rich

Oops!  Forgot to mention;  The world price for crude
is what it was 2 weeks ago, about $69/barrel while
gas then was $3.98/gal.  I wonder where that extra
dollar came from??

"Bittorrents are REFUNDS for all the BAD movie products Hollywood
never gave us refunds for in the past"
Richard - 03 Sep 2005 03:23 GMT
I think it's closer to $4.69/USG in $US. ((1.49/l x 3.78l/USG) / 1.2) or if
we still sold gas by the gallon (imperial) it would be $6.76 CDN. Now that's
the scary part.

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> >That's American dollars and gallon prices.
> >Price per litre is $1.49 Can..
[quoted text clipped - 7 lines]
> "Bittorrents are REFUNDS for all the BAD movie products Hollywood
> never gave us refunds for in the past"
Ritz - 03 Sep 2005 12:25 GMT
>>That's American dollars and gallon prices.
>>Price per litre is $1.49 Can..
[quoted text clipped - 5 lines]
> gas then was $3.98/gal.  I wonder where that extra
> dollar came from??

The issue is twofold...You've got to first get that oil to the refinery.
 My understanding is that a number of refineries are still shut down.
Incidentally, the US refining capacity was already operating at near
100%.  You lose 1 or 2 refineries and it can cause pretty large price
spikes and supply disruptions.  You've also got to get the gasoline
after it's refined to the markets that need it.  The shipping terminals,
roads, and some pipelines were negatively impacted by the storm.  Have
gasoline sitting in vast tanks at the refinery isn't going to help the
supply on the street so it won't help prices until it can be
distributed.  My understanding is that approximately 10% of US refining
capacity was affected.  That's going to cause a much larger than 10%
baloon in prices until the supply and refining system is back online and
can make up the difference.  For now, some oil companies are importing
refined gas which is substantially more expensive than importing crude
and refining it locally.

Cheers,
Rich - 03 Sep 2005 23:49 GMT
>>>That's American dollars and gallon prices.
>>>Price per litre is $1.49 Can..
[quoted text clipped - 23 lines]
>
>Cheers,

We all know how increased scarcity drives up prices, but the companies
have already paid a certain price for what they have "in the pipe" or
in storage and they are making a huge profit on these increases.
They used to tell us that when crude prices fell, it took 2-3 months
for those to "trickle down" to the pumps.  So why do gas prices rise a
DAY after crude prices do?'
-Rich
Ritz - 04 Sep 2005 01:37 GMT
>> We all know how increased scarcity drives up prices, but the companies
> have already paid a certain price for what they have "in the pipe" or
> in storage and they are making a huge profit on these increases.
> They used to tell us that when crude prices fell, it took 2-3 months
> for those to "trickle down" to the pumps.  So why do gas prices rise a
> DAY after crude prices do?'

Why don't you write a letter to the CEO of each major refiner and ask
them?  I don't set policy at refineries or at the major oil companies.
I'm just telling you how it is.  Let me know if anyone responds to your
letters.

Cheers,
Backyard Mechanic - 05 Sep 2005 16:05 GMT
Rich <none@none.com> wrote

> We all know how increased scarcity drives up prices, but the companies
> have already paid a certain price for what they have "in the pipe" or
[quoted text clipped - 3 lines]
> DAY after crude prices do?'
> -Rich

The price at the pump relates directly to the cost of the replacement fuel.
NOT the cost of what's IN the underground tanks. Which in turn reflects the
refinery price to the Distributor for the next deliveries... usually a day
or so lag/lead there

That is why it goes up immediately and isnt related to the presence of the
tanker truck.

As far as the decline, do you really pay attention?  Where I live,
Speedway/Marathon sells the bulk of the gas...  And they refine their own!

So I see the decline work the same.  When (WTI) crude goes down, so does
the gas price... there are exceptions but that's a matter for local
competition pressures.
Ritz - 05 Sep 2005 16:16 GMT
> Rich <none@none.com> wrote
>
[quoted text clipped - 10 lines]
> refinery price to the Distributor for the next deliveries... usually a day
> or so lag/lead there

People who want to speculate on fuel prices or who want to take
advantage of short-term supply shocks might behave that way, but someone
who just wants to earn their honest living bases their prices on their
actual cost, not what they THINK prices will be tomorrow.

If you have the urge to speculate on fuel prices, you should hang up
your dirty overalls and buy/sell gas and oil futures.  Since you're such
an expert on the subject and on commodity prices, you should have no
trouble at all making a handsome profit for yourself.  Do let me know
how that works out for ya...
Backyard Mechanic - 06 Sep 2005 09:45 GMT
I'm just telling you how it's done.

If you opened a widget store and you already had a stock of widgets.. you
would sell them based on what you paid for them.. but you are about to run
out of stock so you order more, only to find the wholesale price has
increased... now you MIGHT wait until you get that stock in to raise the
price.. but sooner or later, you're going to realize it really doesnt
matter.  

As soon as you know YOUR cost for shelf replacement.. you will just mark
them accordingly.

And you sure arent going to sell your old stock at the old price with the
new stock higher!
Backyard Mechanic - 06 Sep 2005 09:47 GMT
>> Rich <none@none.com> wrote
>>
[quoted text clipped - 21 lines]
> no trouble at all making a handsome profit for yourself.  Do let me
> know how that works out for ya...

I suggest you try some prep H

And it's not what they THINK the price is gonna be... it's what the
distributor tells them it is at that time!
Ritz - 06 Sep 2005 11:49 GMT
> I suggest you try some prep H

I'll take that as a concession.

> And it's not what they THINK the price is gonna be... it's what the
> distributor tells them it is at that time!

So let's use your example....

Let's say I buy 10,000 gallons of gas today at US$1.  So I add a 10%
margin to that and charge customers US$1.10.  Several days later, Hugo
Chavez decides to stop selling oil to the US and the spot price of gas
skyrockets.  So out of curiosity, I call my distributor and ask what "my
price" is on that day.  He says "Well, if you buy it right now, it's
US$1.50.  I don't really need any gas for another 4 days, but according
to you, I should start immediately charging customers US$1.50 + 10% =
US$1.65.  Wow, so now I'm making 65 cents on the same fuel I paid a
dollar for.  4 days go by and the markets stabilise, Chavez falls off
his horse and is killed, etc....and it's time to order gas.  The price
is back down to US$1.10.  So I order 10,000 gallons and change the price
to US$1.21 (1.10 + 10%).  Personally, I'd rather just make my guaranteed
10% margin on every gallon I sell rather than gouge my customers based
on pricing information mid-week that has zero bearing on my cost.  But,
hey, if that's something that YOU think you'd like to do, you can set up
your own station around the corner and show us all how it's done.

Customers are a valuable asset and they're not stupid.  If you "steal"
from them, they'll eventually catch on and do business with a more
honest establishment.

Cheers,
Rich - 05 Sep 2005 23:32 GMT
>Rich <none@none.com> wrote
>
[quoted text clipped - 20 lines]
>the gas price... there are exceptions but that's a matter for local
>competition pressures.

You have to be able to separate local, brief "price wars" from the
normal price of fuel.  They are not related.
-Rich
 
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