Car Forum / Ford / Ford Cars / April 2007
CAFE standards controlled by our Government? Can someone explain why?
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Bob Brown - 21 Apr 2007 17:33 GMT I've noticed that CAFE's don't get raised very often, or maybe I don't pay careful attention when they DO raise them?
Nevertheless, why can't we raise the CAFE standards on a fixed interval of time? Why can't we make it a goal that we ALWAYS raise the CAFE every 2 years and make the new CAFE announced to be for cars made in the 4th year after the announcement?
Obviously the CAFE would exceed the possibilities of a gasoline engine at some point thus forcing car makers to go to hybrids or, my favorite, hydrogen powered cars.
Since it is clear that the private sector has no plans to mass produce affordable hydrogen cars, shouldn't we force them?
All the current gasoline producers would follow suit and, over time, change the gas stations to a blend of gasoline pumps and hydrogen filling stations.
I really don't see why this is so hard or why everyone keeps talking about the "conversion cost" being extreme to the end consumer.
The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard gasoline-only powered cars. I'm also lead to believe their is a back order on the PRIUS. I'm told to get a PRIUS you have to get in line and get on the waiting list. If this is true then it seems logical that a very high CAFE would force toyota to produce MANY more Prius than now, making the waiting list disappear.
I'm sure someone might correct me on the Science or MPG benefits, CO2 emission savings or even correct me on the conversion factor but I would be more than willing to be educated on this topic.
I am more than willing to be wrong on this subject. I am also more than willing to have my a.s handed to me as long as it is based on the mathematics and economic variables I have overlooked in this post.
Let me have it folks.
p.s. I suspect I will get either no replies or replies based purely on emotion. Please make me wrong on both points? p.s.s. Yes I know his is a FORD newsgroup but I thought this NG would be proper since MANY of you seem to have your heads on straight as opposed to those "general newsgroups" related to this topic. Many of those NG's are filled with political witch hunts having nothing to do with whether these ideas are workable. p.s.s.s If you can inform me of a more proper NG then please do so.
Even if no one replies to this post, at least I got this off my chest.
Good day to you all.
scott21230@gmail.com - 21 Apr 2007 17:55 GMT The reason standards aren't raised at regular intervals is due to several reasons:
1. The cheap oil of the recent past the ended a couple of years ago. 2. Politicial special interests (i.e. - automakers and oil companies). That and spineless politicians that won't admit that the real problem is our overpopulation problem, not an oil shortage. 3. Auto companies who go burned in the past with poor quality cars that are now afraid to take chances. 4. The initial cost of some of the technologies required. Almost nobody wants to be the early adapter. 5. Although this one is partially covered by #3 & #4, a lack of a small, lighweight, inexpensive battery that can power a hybrid commputer car for something like 60 miles before it begins to use gas. This is one of the bigger reasons. 6. Other countries have reduced or eliminated their dependance on imported oil with ethanol and/or coal to fuel processes, so why can't we? Brazil and Nazi Germany come to mind. 7. Traditionally fuel type changeovers have taken very long periods of time. 8. Our only viable alternative in the US is to get everything we can to run off of electricity, and then build enough nuclear plants to support it. I'd be suprized if this ever happens.
That and the fact that we as a species aren't incined to do anything about any problem until it gets way too serious.
Jeff - 21 Apr 2007 18:34 GMT > The reason standards aren't raised at regular intervals is due to > several reasons: [quoted text clipped - 14 lines] > imported oil with ethanol and/or coal to fuel processes, so why can't > we? Brazil and Nazi Germany come to mind. Technically, Nazi Germany didn't end their dependence on foriegn oil. The US ended it for them. ;-)
Egypt and other countries in the middle east don't depend on foriegn oil, either.
> 7. Traditionally fuel type changeovers have taken very long periods of > time. That's because of the huge infrastructure.
> 8. Our only viable alternative in the US is to get everything we can > to run off of electricity, and then build enough nuclear plants to > support it. I'd be suprized if this ever happens. As well as windmills and solar power. Everything is powered by hydrogren fusion already. Unfortunately, the hydrogen fusion takes place in the sun, not on the earth. If we could do hydrogen fusion on earth, that would be nifty, too.
> That and the fact that we as a species aren't incined to do anything > about any problem until it gets way too serious. Although we have done things in the past. For example, we eliminated gases that destroy the ozone layer. And we got rid of lead before it affected the kids of the rich white folks who run Washington.
Jeff
Jeff - 21 Apr 2007 18:30 GMT > I've noticed that CAFE's don't get raised very often, or maybe I don't > pay careful attention when they DO raise them? [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > CAFE every 2 years and make the new CAFE announced to be for cars made > in the 4th year after the announcement? There's no reason why we can't raise the CAFE standards. However, the American public would rather big SUVs be freely available. And so would the automakers. So the automakers have lobbied against it. The oil industry is also against increasing standards.
> Obviously the CAFE would exceed the possibilities of a gasoline engine > at some point thus forcing car makers to go to hybrids or, my > favorite, hydrogen powered cars. All of our cars are powered by hydrogen. In fact, hydrogen fusion. In the sun.
However, when you use hydrogen on earth, you have to have a good source of H2, which we don't. All the sources of hydrogen use energy to make the hydrogen. It is almost always for efficent to use the fuel to power vehicles directly. If hydrogen fusion is able to work on earth (not just in stars), then making hydrogen from electrolysis powered by earth-bound hydrogen fusion may be an aswer. Until then, it won't be efficent.
Even using ethanol is not a good was to save energy because of all the energy needed to make and process ethanol, at least the way it is made in the US.
> Since it is clear that the private sector has no plans to mass produce > affordable hydrogen cars, shouldn't we force them? If we force anything, we should force car makers to make more fuel-efficent cars. Let the private sector work with any technology they want, like gas, diesel, hydrogen, pedals (human powered). Whatever.
> All the current gasoline producers would follow suit and, over time, > change the gas stations to a blend of gasoline pumps and hydrogen > filling stations. It is not nearly that easy. Hydrogen requires a totally new infrastructure.
> I really don't see why this is so hard or why everyone keeps talking > about the "conversion cost" being extreme to the end consumer. Because making hydrogen is not efficient.
> The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard gasoline-only > powered cars. I'm also lead to believe their is a back order on the > PRIUS. Not anymore.
> I'm told to get a PRIUS you have to get in line and get on the > waiting list. If this is true then it seems logical that a very high > CAFE would force toyota to produce MANY more Prius than now, making > the waiting list disappear. No, a high CAFE would force car companies to produce energy efficient cars. It would be up to the car companies to figure out which technology to use.
> I'm sure someone might correct me on the Science or MPG benefits, CO2 > emission savings or even correct me on the conversion factor but I > would be more than willing to be educated on this topic. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hydrogen_fuel there are also some links at the bottom, like hydrogen economy.
Google is your friend in your search, as well (or yahoo or search msn).
> I am more than willing to be wrong on this subject. I am also more > than willing to have my a.s handed to me as long as it is based on the [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] > those NG's are filled with political witch hunts having nothing to do > with whether these ideas are workable. Gee, I hadn't noticed.
> p.s.s.s If you can inform me of a more proper NG then please do so. Actually, it should be p.p.p.s. (post post post script - p.s.s.s. means post script script script - post means after and script means writing).
Newsgroups are not your best resources. We're all biased; well, I am not, most of are. ;-)
The Wikipedia articles seem to be pretty good places to start.
Also, there is a web site called how things work or something like that. That is also good.
Scientific American and New York Times Science section have had articles on this as well as science magazine (science has research articles - ignore those - those are too dense for even me; but science has a good news section up front). All these sources are good source, IMHO, on science news.
> Even if no one replies to this post, at least I got this off my chest. > > Good day to you all. Michael - 26 Apr 2007 00:28 GMT stuff snipped
>> Since it is clear that the private sector has no plans to mass produce >> affordable hydrogen cars, shouldn't we force them? > > If we force anything, we should force car makers to make more > fuel-efficent cars. Let the private sector work with any technology they > want, like gas, diesel, hydrogen, pedals (human powered). Whatever. The car makers are not shoving gas guzzlers down our throats. They are making what the buying public wants to buy. Back in the mid '70s during the "oil crisis", the public DID force the automakers to produce more efficient cars (sadly, at that time it meant smaaaalll) simply by refusing to buy anything else. Remember the Vega and Pinto? Then, the buying habits of the public changed so fast the auto makers had a heck of a time retooling to compete with the suddenly popular Japanese compacts (which few people wanted, except as a second car, prior to the oil embargo). Just as soon as car buyers adjusted to the gasoline prices, they went back in droves to larger vehicles. As long as the people buying the new vehicles (not me, by the way) are actually buying them, there is no compelling reason to make anything else. Besides, there are plenty of models out there that get very good gas mileage and the mileage will only increase as engine control technology advances.
C. E. White - 26 Apr 2007 13:06 GMT > The car makers are not shoving gas guzzlers down our throats. They > are making what the buying public wants to buy. Back in the mid '70s > during the "oil crisis", the public DID force the automakers to > produce more efficient cars (sadly, at that time it meant smaaaalll) > simply by refusing to buy anything else. Remember the Vega and > Pinto? The Pinto and Vega predated the first oil crisis by more than two years. They were both introduced in 1970 as 1971 models. The first oil crisis didn't hit until 1973. I would argue that US automakers had first tried to address the desire of Consumers for smaller cars in the early 50's (Metro, Henry J) and then in the late 50's/early 60's (Corvair, Falcon, Valiant). Even the late 60's Ford Maverick was a relatively small car. Volumes were often good for the smaller cars (Ford had great success selling Falcons, Mavericks, and Pintos) but the profits were not so good. Low end cars had to compete with used cars. Given the gas prices in the 60's and early 70's what do you think must Consumers would rather have - a new Maverick, or a low mileage 1 or 2 year old Mustang or Torino? I bought my first import in 1975 - a Datsun 280Z. I bought it because it was different, not because of reliability (it wasn't) or fuel economy (it wasn't particularly good on gas). A lot of people I know who bought imports early on bought them because they were different. Over the years I have owned imports from England (2 seat sports cars), Germany (Audi), and Japan (Nissan, Mazda, and Toyota). I've never been overly impressed with the quality or value of imported cars compared to domestic cars. I really don't understand why Toyota has become so successful. In terms of what I look for in a car, Toyota has consistently been far down the list - even compared to the Japanese rivals. Apparently boring is what Americans want.
Ed
Mike Hunter - 21 Apr 2007 20:39 GMT It is ALWAYS better to set ATTAINABLE goals than to set date certain demands to be met. The market place will take care of who sells what. Witness the date certain set by the original emission and CAFE standards in the past. As a retire automotive engineer I can assure you in reality if given a goal for the market to meet, rather than date certain demands, we would have the safer, cleaner, more fuel efficient vehicles available on the market today, ten to fifteen years sooner.
mike
> I've noticed that CAFE's don't get raised very often, or maybe I don't > pay careful attention when they DO raise them? [quoted text clipped - 47 lines] > > Good day to you all. Jeff - 21 Apr 2007 20:47 GMT > It is ALWAYS better to set ATTAINABLE goals than to set date certain > demands to be met. The market place will take care of who sells what. [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > we would have the safer, cleaner, more fuel efficient vehicles available > on the market today, ten to fifteen years sooner. I would like to reiterate that I think the government should set the goals, but not specify the technology.
If one car makers wans to use clean diesel engines, natural gas, and hybrids, then let them use whatever technology they want to achieve the goals.
However, what is the difference between setting a goal and dating certain demands?
Jeff
> mike > [quoted text clipped - 49 lines] >> >> Good day to you all. Mike Hunter - 21 Apr 2007 21:04 GMT Need I say do you own homework? ;)
mike
>> It is ALWAYS better to set ATTAINABLE goals than to set date certain >> demands to be met. The market place will take care of who sells what. [quoted text clipped - 69 lines] >>> >>> Good day to you all. Jeff - 21 Apr 2007 21:21 GMT > Need I say do you own homework? ;) Actually, I was asking for a clarification on your terminology.
Too bad you don't want to communicate your ideas more clearly, especially when one asks, very politly, for a clarifcation. You did not take advantage of an oppurtunity to make a case for your arguement.
Jeff
> mike > [quoted text clipped - 71 lines] >>>> >>>> Good day to you all. clare at snyder.on.ca - 21 Apr 2007 21:51 GMT The problem with CAFE is not that the mileage standards cannot be met. It is the mileage standards can not be met while also meeting the emission standards and the customer's performance expectations. If you don't worry about performance, driveability and emissions, 100 MPG is easily within reach.
Run a totally ceramic valve timed high speed two stroke, turbo compounded engine at about 600 degrees F. and your biggest problem is NOX. And the cat won't work if you run it lean enough to get the rest of the job done.
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Mike Hunter - 21 Apr 2007 23:02 GMT I have posted many times on the fallacy of setting dates certain to meet improved government automotive standards, beside I get paid for teaching a class.
For a person that tries to speak on every subject, like they know what they are talking about, one would think you would know what I was talking about. Apparently you do not want to do what is necessary to learn the subject matter before commenting on the subject ;)
mike
>> Need I say do you own homework? ;) > [quoted text clipped - 81 lines] >>>>> >>>>> Good day to you all. Jeff - 22 Apr 2007 02:46 GMT >I have posted many times on the fallacy of setting dates certain to meet >improved government automotive standards, beside I get paid for teaching a [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > about. Apparently you do not want to do what is necessary to learn the > subject matter before commenting on the subject ;) This is too easy Mike. Like you learned about VINs before commenting on the meaning of the first digit.
> mike > [quoted text clipped - 93 lines] >>>>>> >>>>>> Good day to you all. Bob Brown - 22 Apr 2007 03:05 GMT Might I add that the banning of CFC's was date certain, not technology or business driven. You either did it or paid the fines. I'm NOT saying this would work in all industries but it is one example that did work [except in all other countries who banned CFC's when they decided]
>> It is ALWAYS better to set ATTAINABLE goals than to set date certain >> demands to be met. The market place will take care of who sells what. [quoted text clipped - 69 lines] >>> >>> Good day to you all. Doug - 22 Apr 2007 09:24 GMT >Might I add that the banning of CFC's was date certain, not technology >or business driven. You either did it or paid the fines. I'm NOT >saying this would work in all industries but it is one example that >did work [except in all other countries who banned CFC's when they >decided] But DID the above work? Seems to me that I've read that the replacement refrigerants are equally harmful and are about to be also banned....
Government often imposes standards that are too much and occur too fast before the science has been worked out.
Remember the U.S.'s EPA mandating MTBE as a gasoline additive despite the warnings from scientists?
As for hydrogen as a widepread fuel source.... it will never happen, at least not without some new technology.
It takes more energy to isolate the hydrogen than is available from its use. Unless some revolutionary breakthrough process is discovered, the main way to generate free hydrogen is from the electrolysis of water breaking it down into free hydrogen and oxygen. However the energy to perform this separation has to come from somewhere. WHERE?
Things are rarely as simple or as easy as most folks believe....
Doug
Mike Hunter - 22 Apr 2007 14:54 GMT The invironuts relay on the average persons misunderstanding of the fact things are rarely as simple or easy, as well as the cost vis a v benefits. The politicians are afraid to go against the invironuts because of that basic misunderstanding. Look at the current rush to reduce C02, and mercury as a good examples, they have turned them into a political debate because they can not win the scientific debate. Scare the folks and they can win.
mike
>>Might I add that the banning of CFC's was date certain, not technology >>or business driven. You either did it or paid the fines. I'm NOT [quoted text clipped - 25 lines] > > Doug Bob Brown - 22 Apr 2007 22:57 GMT >>Might I add that the banning of CFC's was date certain, not technology >>or business driven. You either did it or paid the fines. I'm NOT [quoted text clipped - 25 lines] > >Doug I wish you guys in this newsgroup would visit some of the political newsgroups and go toe to toe with them on what they consider important and possible with regard to the "global warming" craze.
I'm so sick of reading and hearing about global warming and how man is 100% responsible and those doom and gloom predictions; ignoring that the 1970s claim of global cooling NEVER HAPPENED.
I really wish some of you here, since you seem far smarter than those idiots who worship at global warming, would go to those political groups...
I've used logic, common sense and it doesn't seem to matter to them.
Al gore said it so therefore it's the truth because after all he won an oscar [which he didn't]
anyways...
Mike Hunter - 22 Apr 2007 23:39 GMT Logic and common sense doesn't seem to matter to the kooks in the NG either, unfortunately ;)
mike
>>>Might I add that the banning of CFC's was date certain, not technology >>>or business driven. You either did it or paid the fines. I'm NOT [quoted text clipped - 39 lines] > > I've used logic, common sense and it doesn't seem to matter to them. C. E. White - 23 Apr 2007 12:25 GMT > The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard > gasoline-only [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > CAFE would force toyota to produce MANY more Prius than now, making > the waiting list disappear The waiting list have disappeared and Toyota is even offering incentives on the Prius. And Prius sales are way up. However, the main advantage of the Prius is stop and go driving. For open road driving, there are non-hybrid choices that are just as good that don't involve battery packs, electric motors and complicated control systems.
Ed
Jeff - 23 Apr 2007 13:10 GMT >> The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard gasoline-only >> powered cars. I'm also lead to believe their is a back order on the [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > > Ed I disagree with Ed a little bit. The Toyota Camry 4.cyl gets 24/34 mpg (city/highway) while the Camry hybrid gets 40/38, or 4 mpg better on the highway. The Civic gets 30/40 while the Civic Hybrid gets 49/51, or 11 mpg better on the highway. The hybrids benefit from the technology used to get better fuel mileage, even at highway speeds.
So while the main advantage of hybrids is in stop and go or city driving, they also improve highway mileage. Whether or not hybrids or non-hybrids are a better choice depends on the mix of highway and stop and go traffic (which, around LA and NYC, are the same thing sometimes) and the other cars being considered. If your concern is for the environment, also note that the hybrid systems also require special batteries that have environmental costs when they are made, just like everything else.
Jeff
C. E. White - 23 Apr 2007 16:03 GMT >>> The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard >>> gasoline-only [quoted text clipped - 23 lines] > from the technology used to get better fuel mileage, even at highway > speeds. The EPA ratings are not he same as actual fuel economy. The EPA highway test is still stuck at 55 mph as a maximum speed and still includes some stop and go portions. For the Civic Hybrid Consumer Reports' overall fuel mileage was an impressive 37 mpg. They recorded 26 in the city, 47 on the highway and got 45 mpg on their 150 mile trip. For the regular Civic the results were 31 overall, 22 city, 40 highway, and 37 on the 150 mile trip. For the Camry hybrid, CR recorded 34 mpg overall, 28 city, 41 highway, and 37 on the 150 mile trip. Pretty impressive for such a large car. The conventional 4 cylinder automatic Camry got 24 overall, 16 city, 36 highway, and 29 on the 150 mile trip.
To be clear - I have nothing against hybrids. For some applications, it appears to be a great technology. Because of the nature of Japanese traffic, I can see why hybrids were developed their first and best. Lots of crawling along at low speeds with a lot of stop and go driving. However, given the way hybrids work, why would you expect a Civic hybrid to get significantly better gas mileage than a regular Civic on a long trip down I-95 for instance (assuming it wasn't during one of the frequent I-95 and stop and go wreck aftermaths)? The Civic hybrid has a smaller engine than the standard Civic (1.3L vs. 1.8L), so this might allow for slightly better highway cruising economy. It also might affect performance. For the regular Civic (manual transmission, 1.8L engine), the 0-60 was 8.6 seconds. For the hybrid, it was 11.7 sec. So clearly, the cars don't have equivalent performance. Too bad we don't have a 1.3L non-hybrid Civic for comparison. As for the Camry, the hybrid Camry had a 8.4 sec 0-60 time. The conventional 4 cylinder automatic Camry only managed a 9.6 sec 0-60 (the V-6 automatic could do 7.1 sec 0-60s, and the fuel mileage was only about 1 mpg worse). It is pretty obvious to me that Toyota knows more about hybrids than Honda.
But the real question is, will you save enough on the cost of gasoline to pay for the difference in initial cost? The Civic hybrid is at least $3000 more expensive than the EX Sedan, if you assume the CR average fuel economy is a good estimate of the real world, the math works out as follows:
Gas used in 150,000 miles, and cost assuming $3 gasoline - Hybrid Civic - 4054 gallons / $12,162 Regular Civic (manual transmission) - 4,839 gallons / $14, 516
You can spend $3000+ to save less than $1400. Of course if you keep the car longer, or gas prices continue to rise, the hybrid might make more sense, but then there is the question of maintenance costs, extra financing spent for the more expensive car, etc. I don't have a good feel for these factors.
Likewise for the Camry -
Gas used in 150,000, and cost assuming $3 gasoline
Hybrid Camry - 4,412 gallons, $13,235 Regular Camry (4 cylinder automatic) - 6250 gallons, $18,750
So a hybrid Camry could save you $5,525 compared to as conventional Camry. Of course to save this, you are going to spend $6000 or more initially. And again there are all the questions about relative maintenance costs, long term gas cost, financing charges, etc.
It is difficult for me to see the hybrids as a cost effective solution for most drivers. Of course if you do a lot of in-town driving, plan to keep the car for a very long time (and drive a lot of miles), and assume the maintenance cost aren't much different, you might decide the hybrid makes a good choice.
One thing for sure, Toyota has the best hybrids at this time.
> So while the main advantage of hybrids is in stop and go or city > driving, they also improve highway mileage. Whether or not hybrids [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > special batteries that have environmental costs when they are made, > just like everything else. Ed
Jeff - 23 Apr 2007 17:10 GMT >>>> The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard gasoline-only >>>> powered cars. I'm also lead to believe their is a back order on the [quoted text clipped - 58 lines] > > You can spend $3000+ to save less than $1400. 14,517 - 12,162 = 2345, I think.
>Of course if you keep the car longer, or gas prices continue to rise, the >hybrid might make more sense, but then there is the question of maintenance [quoted text clipped - 12 lines] > And again there are all the questions about relative maintenance costs, > long term gas cost, financing charges, etc. And cost to the environment for all the gas, the batteries, recycling the batteries, the extra motors and electronics and resale cost and how long the life of the car will be.
My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar cars without a hybrid system.
So there is a definite benefit to use a hybrid system in cars that run mostly on highways. However, I don't know if this benefit is worth the extra money or the environmental cost.
Jeff
> It is difficult for me to see the hybrids as a cost effective solution for > most drivers. Of course if you do a lot of in-town driving, plan to keep [quoted text clipped - 13 lines] > > Ed Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 03:15 GMT >My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >cars without a hybrid system. Isn't the point of all this to save the consumer money on gasoline while at the same time allowing them to have a comfortable ride in a car that will last some 7-12 years ?
If so, how does a Prius do?
Tegger - 25 Apr 2007 03:26 GMT >>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > > If so, how does a Prius do? You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase.
Any "savings" come only if you disregard the premium you paid to be "green".
 Signature Tegger
Tomes - 25 Apr 2007 03:44 GMT "Tegger" ...
> Bob Brown : >> "Jeff" : [quoted text clipped - 15 lines] > Any "savings" come only if you disregard the premium you paid to be > "green". I, for one, fully intend to get a couple of hundred thousand miles at least out of the Prius. Tomes (189K on the Sienna so far)
Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 04:47 GMT >"Tegger" ... >> Bob Brown : [quoted text clipped - 21 lines] >Tomes >(189K on the Sienna so far) 200K miles on the Prius. What will your gasoline versus cost of vehicle be?
I'm asking if it makes any sense? People ONLY talk about MPG never discussing the premium for a Prius, or for that matter any 'new' car.
With interest, most people have no clue what the final price was on their new , now 5 years old, car.
0% interest or $1000 cash back: Most young, see:dumb, people see that $1,000 and grab it. Low interest would save you more than $1,000. AND if you need $1,000 that bad what in the hell are you doing buying a 'new' car?
Do you want an ounce of gold or a pound of aluminum? Gee, wonder which one the 20s crowd would pick...
Jeff - 25 Apr 2007 04:08 GMT >>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > Any "savings" come only if you disregard the premium you paid to be > "green". This depends on the particular car or truck and the difference in the fuel used as well as the price of fuel. For most hybrids, it seems like it takes about 300,000 km or 200,000 mi to pay back the cost, without tax breaks, in the US.
Jeff
Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 04:43 GMT >>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] >Any "savings" come only if you disregard the premium you paid to be >"green". Not trying to be mean but I aint going to pay a penny more for anything just because it's 'green'. Other people can do that, those people with extra money I guess.
NOT YOU!
I'm speaking in general.
Tegger - 25 Apr 2007 12:19 GMT >>You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it >>enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase. [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > Not trying to be mean but I aint going to pay a penny more for > anything just because it's 'green'. If it costs more, it's not "green".
Being "green" means reducing the use of ALL resources, not just the ones you WANT to pay attention to.
 Signature Tegger
Jeff - 25 Apr 2007 13:10 GMT >>>You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it >>>enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase. [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] > Being "green" means reducing the use of ALL resources, not just the ones > you WANT to pay attention to. Unfortunately, I have not seen any accounting of the use of other resources and the environmental costs of those resources that are used by hybrids.
Jeff
Tegger - 25 Apr 2007 13:55 GMT >>>>You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it >>>>enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase. [quoted text clipped - 13 lines] > resources and the environmental costs of those resources that are used > by hybrids. The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only breaks even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you that hybrids are wasteful of resources.
If a thing is relatively expensive, this can only mean one of two things: 1) profit margins are high, or 2) a tremendous amount of energy is going into the thing.
 Signature Tegger
C. E. White - 25 Apr 2007 14:25 GMT > The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only > breaks > even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you that > hybrids > are wasteful of resources. Maybe not. There are definitely places where a hybrid makes a lot of sense. It seems to me that any driving pattern that involves a lot of stop and go driving is potentially a good place for a hybrid. When we were in Victoria, BC two years ago, I was impressed that many of the taxis were Toyota Priuses. I don't think taxi companies would buy vehicles that were not economically attractive.
I wonder if there is an application for true diesel/electric or gas/electric vehicle that operates more like modern locomotives. It seems to me that once you buy into including a generator and motor set in a car, you might as well go one step further and eliminate the conventional drive train. You could still include batteries to provide "surge" power for qucik acceleration.
> If a thing is relatively expensive, this can only mean one of two > things: > 1) profit margins are high, or > 2) a tremendous amount of energy is going into the thing. Don't forget government policies as an influence. Do you think hybrids would have gotten a foothold in the US if it wasn't for the early tax rebates and CAFE rules? The Prius must have a significant positive impact on Toyota's CAFE numbers.
And if people always bought cars for strictly sensible reasons, there would be no Lincoln, Cadillac, Lexus, Aura, Infiniti, etc....
Ed
Jeff - 25 Apr 2007 14:58 GMT >> The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only breaks >> even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you that hybrids [quoted text clipped - 22 lines] > rebates and CAFE rules? The Prius must have a significant positive impact > on Toyota's CAFE numbers. Yet, even without the Prius and other hybrids, Toyotas are quire fuel efficent compared to the offerings of American car makers. I doubt the impact made any real difference in how Toytota would have done business with regard to regulations about CAFE if it did not have the hybrids.
> And if people always bought cars for strictly sensible reasons, there > would be no Lincoln, Cadillac, Lexus, Aura, Infiniti, etc.... Not to mentions, far fewer trucks and SUVs.
And, actually, fewer total vehicles.
Jeff
> Ed Tegger - 25 Apr 2007 18:20 GMT "C. E. White" <cewhite3@removemindspring.com> wrote in news:462f573f$1 @kcnews01:
>> The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only >> breaks [quoted text clipped - 8 lines] > taxis were Toyota Priuses. I don't think taxi companies would buy > vehicles that were not economically attractive. Unless they were getting subsidies from the government, which is just another form of waste. Or if there are regulations limiting the types of cars that may be used for taxi service.
And even if hybrids did work for taxis, how many ordinary people drive the sort of mileage covered by taxis? High mileage within a short span of time is the only way you'll ever recover the excess cost of a hybrid.
Problem is, used cars (specifically ex-cop cars) come on the market far too cheaply to make hybrids even remotely an option for the low-margin taxi business.
> Don't forget government policies as an influence. Do you think hybrids > would have gotten a foothold in the US if it wasn't for the early tax > rebates and CAFE rules? The Prius must have a significant positive > impact on Toyota's CAFE numbers. I'm sure it does. But that's not the same thing as conserving resouces.
> And if people always bought cars for strictly sensible reasons, there > would be no Lincoln, Cadillac, Lexus, Aura, Infiniti, etc.... Of course. That's my whole point. Hybrids do not conserve resources, they just provide a feel-good hit for those that get off on such things.
 Signature Tegger
Jeff - 25 Apr 2007 14:55 GMT >>>>>You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it >>>>>enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase. [quoted text clipped - 21 lines] > 1) profit margins are high, or > 2) a tremendous amount of energy is going into the thing. 3) or, A lot of labor goes into making it.
What is a tremendous amount of energy? Decreasing the energy requirements of a vehicle from 33 mpg to 40 mpg will decrease the use of energy over 100,000 mi from 3000 gal to 2500 gal, a savings of 500 gal of fuel. 500 gal of gasoline is a lot of energy.
Jeff
Tegger - 25 Apr 2007 18:24 GMT >> The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only >> breaks even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > > 3) or, A lot of labor goes into making it. #3 is the same as #2. It doesn't matter where the energy comes from (human, machine, etc), just that it be expended.
> What is a tremendous amount of energy? Decreasing the energy > requirements of a vehicle from 33 mpg to 40 mpg will decrease the use > of energy over 100,000 mi from 3000 gal to 2500 gal, a savings of 500 > gal of fuel. 500 gal of gasoline is a lot of energy. Yes, but money is the product of energy. Paying too much money and not being able to recover it means wasted energy.
Unless you drive like a city taxicab, it'll take 15 years to recoup the cost of a hybrid. This is true whether you're given somebody else's money as a subsidy, or you pay for it yourself.
 Signature Tegger
Jeff - 25 Apr 2007 18:32 GMT >>> The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only >>> breaks even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] > (human, > machine, etc), just that it be expended. I disagree. It takes a lot of labor to write a computer program, but not all that much energy to make it compared to the costs of the human labor.
>> What is a tremendous amount of energy? Decreasing the energy >> requirements of a vehicle from 33 mpg to 40 mpg will decrease the use [quoted text clipped - 3 lines] > Yes, but money is the product of energy. Paying too much money and not > being able to recover it means wasted energy. It's actually, more closely related to resources, energy being an important one.
> Unless you drive like a city taxicab, it'll take 15 years to recoup the > cost of a hybrid. This is true whether you're given somebody else's money > as a subsidy, or you pay for it yourself. Depends on the price of gas. In addition, it depends on the benefits of decreasing green-house gases, too.
As I said, we don't know the accounting as far as the environment is concerned, but I don't think for a second that this is the same as the money accounting.
Jeff
Tegger - 25 Apr 2007 18:52 GMT >>>> The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only >>>> breaks even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you [quoted text clipped - 13 lines] > not all that much energy to make it compared to the costs of the human > labor. It is energy regardless. The time it took to make that computer program is gone forever. You cannot re-use that same time to produce anything else of value.
 Signature Tegger
Jeff - 25 Apr 2007 19:16 GMT >>>>> The fact that the cars are expensive to buy (and that Toyota only >>>>> breaks even on them if they disregard development costs) tells you [quoted text clipped - 17 lines] > gone forever. You cannot re-use that same time to produce anything else of > value. That's the first time I have ever heard of time being called energy.
They are not the same thing.
Jeff
Fred Garvin, Male Prostitute - 25 Apr 2007 16:37 GMT >>>You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it >>>enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase. [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] > Being "green" means reducing the use of ALL resources, not just the ones > you WANT to pay attention to. The Prius is "green" because by paying extra for it, you have less money with which to buy other goods and services, thus reducing productivity, employment, and all those other things that liberals hate.
Bob Brown - 26 Apr 2007 21:10 GMT >The Prius is "green" because by paying extra for it, you have less money >with which to buy other goods and services, thus reducing productivity, >employment, and all those other things that liberals hate. I've noticed Liberals hate/oppose anything that involves freedom or personal choice.
C. E. White - 27 Apr 2007 13:00 GMT >>The Prius is "green" because by paying extra for it, you have less >>money [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > I've noticed Liberals hate/oppose anything that involves freedom or > personal choice. Then they are not "Liberals." I think a more correct term for people who hate/oppose anything that involves freedom or personal choice would be fascist- either right wing or left wing.
Ed
Tegger - 27 Apr 2007 20:16 GMT "C. E. White" <cewhite3@removemindspring.com> wrote in news:4631e63e$1 @kcnews01:
>>>The Prius is "green" because by paying extra for it, you have less >>>money [quoted text clipped - 8 lines] > who hate/oppose anything that involves freedom or personal choice > would be fascist- either right wing or left wing. The correct term is "statist".
All the above mentioned people always wish to use the state's power to enforce their desires.
 Signature Tegger
Bob Brown - 29 Apr 2007 06:56 GMT >"C. E. White" <cewhite3@removemindspring.com> wrote in news:4631e63e$1 >@kcnews01: [quoted text clipped - 16 lines] >All the above mentioned people always wish to use the state's power to >enforce their desires. That definition defines a "modern day Liberal". They wish for the gov't to do everything for them and force other people to do certain things. Anti-freedom and anti-choice is a modern day liberal.
Tegger - 29 Apr 2007 14:27 GMT >>"C. E. White" <cewhite3@removemindspring.com> wrote in news:4631e63e$1 >>@kcnews01: [quoted text clipped - 20 lines] > gov't to do everything for them and force other people to do certain > things. Anti-freedom and anti-choice is a modern day liberal. It also means modern day "conservatives", who wish to tell people what thery can and cannot do with their bodies, using the might of the state to enforce this. The "war" on drugs comes from the right and was the primary eroder of civil liberties until the terror thing came along.
 Signature Tegger
Bob Brown - 29 Apr 2007 06:55 GMT >>>The Prius is "green" because by paying extra for it, you have less >>>money [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] > >Ed Ed if you've not noticed that all the 'anti-freedom' and anti-choice people all seem to be Liberals "today". Meaning a modern day Liberal.
If we go by the dictionary every time a label makes us upset then we'd all be gay. Gay means happy, right?
Bob Brown - 26 Apr 2007 21:09 GMT >>>You'll never keep a Prius (or any hybrid) long enough, or drive it >>>enough, to recoup the extra cost of the purchase. [quoted text clipped - 9 lines] >Being "green" means reducing the use of ALL resources, not just the ones >you WANT to pay attention to. It sure seems the Greeny car buyers are ONLY looking at MPG and whether or not it's a hybrid.
Newer technology always costs more until more people by that technology.
I do no see a large jump towards greener cars, in fact I see people in middle-class incomes tending to buy gas-guzzlers which much cheaper technology. They're willing to pay high prices for gas and do not buy into the CO2 myth either.
People settle for 25+ mpg cars/trucks now and they want a car/truck with power and comfort. This means they want a bigger car that is 100% gasoline powered.
The gov't will come along at some point and force us all into expensive cars with high technology built-in.
Has it occurred to anyone that if the America driver shaves 10%-20% of their gas consumption that OPEC will simply raise the price of oil to make up the difference in profit lost?
$5-10$ per gallon gas will happen and that savings will be gone in a flash.
I guess some people just what to 'feel warm' inside and not care that their actions forced poorer people to become more poor.
Ray O - 25 Apr 2007 03:50 GMT >>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 4 lines] > > If so, how does a Prius do? The point of a hybrid drivetrain is to *reduce* fuel consumption while at the same time allowing the consumer to have a comfortable ride in a car that will last at least 7 to 12 years. Because of the higher cost of the hybrid drivetrain, the consumer doesn't really save money until the reduced fuel consumption has covered the premium paid for the hybrid drivetrain.
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Ray O (correct punctuation to reply)
Scott in Florida - 25 Apr 2007 04:02 GMT >>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] >drivetrain, the consumer doesn't really save money until the reduced fuel >consumption has covered the premium paid for the hybrid drivetrain. I would have NO interest in a car that only lasted 12 years.
....says the happy driver of a '92 Corolla Wagon......
 Signature Scott in Florida
Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 04:56 GMT >>>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 12 lines] > >I would have NO interest in a car that only lasted 12 years. I seriously doubt the 'average' lifespan of a Prius will end up being 12 years. I said average. I also doubt the 'average' life will be 200K miles, yes I said average.
Everyone has that 'story' of this 'car' that gets 477k miles because they did the right things and took proper care unlike those 'other people'.
1 out of 100 maybe, you and someone else but the others out here aren't going to get those years or miles out of a car.
Which was my point, but you can all tell the fish stories.
Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 04:52 GMT >>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 10 lines] >drivetrain, the consumer doesn't really save money until the reduced fuel >consumption has covered the premium paid for the hybrid drivetrain. Wouldn't that take 300,000 - 500,000 miles?
I'd love to see an article on the person who is first with a 100k prius. I'd also like a copy of his credit card/other accounts to see if he made any 'repairs' during that time.
I heard someone say 200K miles was the payoff point on the Prius, but what if like a lot of people you never make it to 200K miles?
So cars are unlucky, even if they "average" 200K miles of life. Every car of that model is not going to get 200K miles even with proper care.
If I offered a fund where you give me $5K per year for a return of $2 Million in 30 years? Sounds good. Ok, what if I said "You can't touch it before 30 years even if you were willing to take a penalty"?
I'd probably keep the money of 90% of the people.
Ray O - 25 Apr 2007 05:35 GMT >>>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 14 lines] > > Wouldn't that take 300,000 - 500,000 miles? No, not really. It is difficult to determine the "break even" point on a Prius because there is no conventionally powered version of the car. My guess is that the break-even point on a Prius vs. a 4 cylinder Camry is around 75,000 miles with gas at $3.00 per gallon. The 2 biggest variables are fuel cost and driving conditions.
> I'd love to see an article on the person who is first with a 100k > prius. I'd also like a copy of his credit card/other accounts to see > if he made any 'repairs' during that time. There are quite a few Prius with well over 100,000 miles, most notably in Taxi service in NYC. The article I read said that there were no repairs other than normal maintenance.
> I heard someone say 200K miles was the payoff point on the Prius, but > what if like a lot of people you never make it to 200K miles? > > So cars are unlucky, even if they "average" 200K miles of life. Every > car of that model is not going to get 200K miles even with proper > care. 100,000 miles used to be considered the average life of a passenger vehicle, but 200,000 is very common now.
 Signature Ray O (correct punctuation to reply)
Bob Brown - 26 Apr 2007 21:12 GMT >>>>>My point was that hybrids get better mileage on the highway than similar >>>>>cars without a hybrid system. [quoted text clipped - 38 lines] >100,000 miles used to be considered the average life of a passenger vehicle, >but 200,000 is very common now. So those 10 year/100K miles warranty are now basically 3-5 year warranties.
Nice.
Ray O - 26 Apr 2007 21:14 GMT ><snipped> >>100,000 miles used to be considered the average life of a passenger [quoted text clipped - 5 lines] > > Nice. It is if one drives 20,000 to 30,000 miles a year.
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Ray O (correct punctuation to reply)
Hachiroku ハチロク - 27 Apr 2007 16:25 GMT >><snipped> >>>100,000 miles used to be considered the average life of a passenger [quoted text clipped - 7 lines] >> > It is if one drives 20,000 to 30,000 miles a year. Yo!
Thing is, I split it between three cars.
Bob Brown - 29 Apr 2007 06:58 GMT On Fri, 27 Apr 2007 15:25:20 GMT, Hachiroku ???? <Trueno@AE86.gts> wrote:
>>><snipped> >>>>100,000 miles used to be considered the average life of a passenger [quoted text clipped - 11 lines] > >Thing is, I split it between three cars. Buying a $20K car, making payments, with interest and depreciation the car was bought for around $25K and five years later is maybe worth $10K, plus all that repair work and getting busy, in the hybrid's case, finding a new battery. Batteries lifetime stamp doesn't say "4ever and ever"
I wonder what those batteries do to the environment when they're recycled?
Or when they're made?
Hachiroku ハチロク - 30 Apr 2007 02:33 GMT On Sun, 29 Apr 2007 01:58:38 -0400, wrote:
>>>><snipped> >>>>>100,000 miles used to be considered the average life of a passenger [quoted text clipped - 20 lines] > > Or when they're made? I have one car I paid $15,000 for. One that cost $600 (plus about $1200 in parts so far) and one that cost $150+$400 for parts. So, I'm under the $20,000 so far...
Let's see how much more the Supra can nickle and dime me for, like a Toyota tech friend of mine said it would...
Hachiroku ハチロク - 23 Apr 2007 17:52 GMT >>>> The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard gasoline-only >>>> powered cars. I'm also lead to believe their is a back order on the [quoted text clipped - 27 lines] > conventional 4 cylinder automatic Camry got 24 overall, 16 city, 36 > highway, and 29 on the 150 mile trip. Actually, the 'loop' for Highway ratings is 45 MPH. Nowhere near actual driving conditions (Unless you're in LA where it should be 8MPH...)
And in all actuality, EVERY Toyota I have ever owned has bested it's EPA Highway rating by at least 10%...COMBINED mileage. My Corolla GTS was rated at 32 MPG highway, I got 36 MPG combined. My Corolla SR-5 was rated at 28 MPG highway, I got 34 Combined. My Tercel was rated 33 MPG Highway, I got 45 MPG Combined. And I don't drive like an Old Man, either. A lot of trips in the Tercel were at least 70 MPH, and a few at 80. Likewaise, the GTS was always run on the highway at 70 MPH, even when the speed limit was 55. Running at 55 MPH dropped the Combined MPG to 30 or less.
Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 03:13 GMT >I disagree with Ed a little bit. The Toyota Camry 4.cyl gets 24/34 mpg >(city/highway) while the Camry hybrid gets 40/38, or 4 mpg better on the >highway. The Civic gets 30/40 while the Civic Hybrid gets 49/51, or 11 mpg >better on the highway. The hybrids benefit from the technology used to get >better fuel mileage, even at highway speeds. On a MPG/Cost of car, ratio, how do those cars rank? 1 2 3 etc
I ask because I can find a 15 yr old 200K miles car in the newspaper for $900 and it would get no more than 12MPG. So my MPG/Cost of car ratio would kick some a.s.
With a new car around $20K, and my imaginary car costing $900, do you realize how many gallons of gas I could buy with $19,100 ? How many miles could I get @ my 12MPG? In the long run, even 5 years or longer, I would win in money saved. I don't see how this could even be disagreed on.
Get the calc.exe handy please.
Bob Brown - 25 Apr 2007 03:09 GMT >> The PRIUS as I understand has a superior MPG to standard >> gasoline-only [quoted text clipped - 12 lines] > >Ed So basically the only people that would benefit are those beatnik war-protester types who cry about global warming all the time while they drive less than 10 miles to a box every day to work under the AC.
Those people don't know it's 90F outside unless the AC breaks down and then they all complain, like it's abnormal for it to EVER be 90F outside.
I'm just saying, I am not fooled by the "type" of person who is 90% of the target market for the Prius.
If anyone thinks this isn't true then can you disagree that Cadillac's are targeted toward OLD PEOPLE? Or at least "older" people??
I remember a news story that rated cars as how likely the owner was gay. They said the Suburu outback was #1 lesbian car and at the precise moment I read that my mind reflected on all the lesbians I knew who drove that exact car.
I forgot what the gay-guy car was but it was one of those small-cracker-jack-coffin sized cars, the 0.009 Liter engine ones.
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